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GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #7493

"Climate Change Induced-Heat Stress and Labour Reallocation in Burkina Faso: A CGE Analysis"
by Houessou, Martial, Zuhal Elnour and Harald Grethe


Abstract
In Burkina Faso, the average temperature rises strongly, making it a hotspot for future climate-induced heat stress. High temperatures correlate with increased internal migration, with evidence of both rural-to-rural and rural-to-urban migration being observed. This trend will continue in a 2.5°C warming scenario by 2050. The locations where migrants are likely to relocate, considering climatic conditions and economic sectors, have not yet been investigated. We simulated these migration pathways using a general equilibrium model under a heat-induced labour productivity loss associated with a future +3°C global warming. Our findings suggest that heat-induced labour productivity loss would first harm the economy and reduce domestic production across sectors; subsequently, workers would react to the shock by relocating from the hotter Sahelian zone to other zones within agriculture. In the other sectors, workers would move into manufacturing and services. This evidence highlights the sectors and agroecological zones that require specific attention in response to climate migration.


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2025 Conference Paper
Status: Not published
By/In: Presented during the 28th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis (Kigali, Rwanda)
Date:
Version:
Created: Houessou, M. (4/14/2025)
Updated: Houessou, M. (4/14/2025)
Visits: 37
- Climate impacts
- Other data bases and data issues
- Food prices and food security
- Labor market issues
- Migration
- Functional forms and closure rules
- Model extension/development
- Partial and general equilibrium models
- Software and modeling tools
- Africa (West)


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