GTAP Resources: Resource Display
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"Globalization and the Global Environment: four quantitative scenarios" by Lejour, Arjan Abstract This paper presents four quantitative scenarios simulated with the applied general equilibrium model WorldScan. The scenarios are constructed to study the effects of globalization on transport and the environment. They contain different assumptions on the degree of globalization, technical progress, migration and energy policies. WorldScan focuses on long-term economic growth, trade and specialization patterns. It quantifies the economic content of the scenarios and the volume growth of energy and emissions between 1995 and 2050. The scenario outcomes show that emission levels quadruple with high economic growth in absence of any energy-efficient technologies and environmental legislation. However, in an ecological scenario which combines energy-efficient-technologies, environmental legislation and modest economic growth, global emissions hardly increase. |
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Public Access  GTAP Resource 1175 (399.3 KB) Replicated: 0 time(s)Restricted Access No documents have been attached. Special Instructions No instructions have been specified. |
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Last Modified: 9/15/2023 1:05:45 PM
