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GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #1175

"Globalization and the Global Environment: four quantitative scenarios"
by Lejour, Arjan

This paper presents four quantitative scenarios simulated with the applied general
equilibrium model WorldScan. The scenarios are constructed to study the effects of
globalization on transport and the environment. They contain different assumptions on
the degree of globalization, technical progress, migration and energy policies.
WorldScan focuses on long-term economic growth, trade and specialization patterns.
It quantifies the economic content of the scenarios and the volume growth of energy and
emissions between 1995 and 2050. The scenario outcomes show that emission levels
quadruple with high economic growth in absence of any energy-efficient technologies
and environmental legislation. However, in an ecological scenario which combines
energy-efficient-technologies, environmental legislation and modest economic growth,
global emissions hardly increase.

Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: GTAP Application
Status: Published
By/In: Transportation Planning and Technology, volume 26, ge 9-40
Date: 2003
Created: Lejour, A. (2/6/2003)
Updated: Lejour, A. (9/17/2003)
Visits: 2,169
No keywords have been specified.

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