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GTAP Resource #2910

"Commodity Trade Analysis in a General Equilibrium Framework: BSE Restrictions on Beef Imports from the United States and Canada "
by Tsigas, Marinos, John Giamalva, Nicholas Grossman and Joseph Kowalski

This paper estimates the economic impacts of BSE-related restrictions imposed on beef imports from the United States and Canada in 2004. The analysis is based on a simulation framework which consists of a partial equilibrium (PE) model and a general equilibrium (GE) model. The PE model focuses on bilateral trade in beef products at the HS six-digit level. The GE model is an economy-wide computable general equilibrium model of bilateral trade specified at an aggregate product level. It is estimated that the long-term effects of the 2004 BSE bans were a $3.1 billion, or 84 percent decline in annual U.S. beef exports; a 6 percent decline in the supply of U.S. beef cattle; a $1.3 billion, or 9 percent decline in beef cattle sales revenue; and a $2.7 billion, or 7 percent decline in beef packing sales revenue.

Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: GTAP Application
Status: Not published
Date: 2008
Created: Tsigas, M. (11/28/2008)
Updated: Batta, G. (12/1/2008)
Visits: 2,376
- Agricultural policies

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