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GTAP Resource #4386

"The incidence of a carbon tax - a dynamic CGE study"
by van Heerden, Jan and Heinrich Bohlmann


Abstract
This paper is a follow up of our 2006 paper entitled “Searching for Triple Dividends in South Africa: Fighting CO2 Pollution and Poverty while Promoting Growth”, which appeared in volume 26:2 of The Energy Journal. In that paper we used a static model of the South African economy and simulated both a carbon tax and an energy tax, as well as three possible recycling schemes, to search for the best tax-recycling combination with regard to three goals: (i) a cleaner environment, (ii) a growing economy, and (iii) a decrease in poverty. Improvement in all three of these goals would be considered as “triple dividends”.
The abovementioned static study was not ideal and we have implemented a dynamic CGE model of South Africa to conduct similar research to repeat the search for triple dividends over time. In this paper, we report how to adjust a standard dynamic CGE model and database to be able to conduct energy related research. We also expand the electricity sector from one industry that produces electricity from coal to a few that produce electricity from coal, nuclear and renewables, with substitution possibilities between them. We levy taxes on energy related commodities and discuss the incidence of the tax on households and industries in South Africa.
JEL classification: C68, R13, L32, L71, L94.
Keywords Dynamic CGE modelling, African economic development, energy modelling.

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Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2014 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In: Presented at the 17th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Dakar, Senegal
Date: 2014
Version:
Created: van Heerden, J. (4/10/2014)
Updated: van Heerden, J. (6/17/2014)
Visits: 816
- Dynamic modeling
- Climate change policy
- Climate impacts
- Other data bases and data issues
- Africa (Southern)


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