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GTAP Resource #4625 |
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"The Expected Impacts of Jatropha Curcas Plantations Using Wastewater and Biodiesel Production on the Egyptian Economy: A CGE Modeling Approach" by Mahmoud Soliman, Waleed, Mark Horridge, Philip Adams and He Xiurong Abstract Using a CGE model based on the ORANI-G model and introducing a new production nest that contains two new factors combined together through a Leontief Production function, this paper examines the expected impacts that expanding the Jatropha Curcas plantations will have on the Egyptian economy. We used an input-output table, derived from GTAP database version 8, for the Egyptian economy. Then, we introduced two new sectors into the existing economy with their data obtained mainly through a survey that was conducted at the plantation’s location. Results show a total increase in real GDP of about $206 million. Additionally, model shock caused Jatropha plantations to expand over approximately 111 thousand hectares. Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis of the CGE model shows that the primary factor sigma is the most likely to affect real GDP, rather than the other selected elasticities. Applying Chebyshev's inequality with 99% of confidence assures that whatever the distribution of real GDP, it will always lie between 0.14439% and 0.14461%. |
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- Baseline development - Renewable energy - Land use - Water availability - Agricultural policies - Africa (North) |
Attachments |
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Public Access CGE Modeling Approach Expected Impacts of Jatropha (999.6 KB) Replicated: 0 time(s) Restricted Access No documents have been attached. Special Instructions No instructions have been specified. |
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Last Modified: 9/15/2023 1:05:45 PM