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GTAP Resource #5482

"EFFECTS OF THE BOLSA FAMÍLIA PROGRAM ON INCOME AND CONSUMPTION IN BRAZILIAN MACROREGIONS"
by Wolf, Rayan, Erly Cardoso Teixeira, Matheus Wemerson Gomes Pereira, Angelo Costa Gurgel and Leandro Tamio Marques Higano


Abstract
This paper aims to analyze the impact of the Bolsa Família Program on the
welfare, in terms of consumption, of Brazilian regions families, divided into ten income
groups. The guiding hypothesis is that the rate of return of each real transferred to
households through the Bolsa Família Program on GDP is positive and greater than
unity. To achieve the proposed objectives, the analytical instrument used was the
General Equilibrium Analysis Project of the Brazilian Economy (PAEG), an analytical
set of static general equilibrium, multiregional and multisectoral. It was found that the
government transfer to households via the Bolsa Família Program possesses minimum
direct effects, nevertless it raises the consumption of regional Brazilian families,
especially those in the low income classes. The program has a negative impact on
wages, which would reduce the effects of the smooth program in the long-term,
suggesting the need to adopt policies aimed at labor market to maintain the program
results.


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2018 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In: Presented at the 21st Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Cartagena, Colombia
Date: 2018
Version:
Created: Wolf, R. (4/10/2018)
Updated: Wolf, R. (6/9/2018)
Visits: 1,675
- Baseline development
- Software and modeling tools
- Economic analysis of poverty
- Economic growth
- Labor market issues
- South America


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