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GTAP Resource #7701

"Bridge Over Troubled Water? German Foreign Direct Investment in Times of Geopolitical Tensions"
Authors: Goldbach, Stefan and Volker Nitsch


Abstract
Evidence of geoeconomic fragmentation does not necessarily apply to all types of cross-border business activities alike. For foreign direct investment, for instance, an increase in trade costs due to heightened geopolitical risk may actually make production abroad relatively more attractive. This paper examines the geographic pattern of German foreign direct investment over the period from 2002 to 2022. Using a variety of models and specifications, we find no consistent evidence that a host country’s geopolitical position has a measurable impact on German investment once traditional gravity factors are accounted for.


Resource Details () GTAP Keywords
Category: 2026 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In: Presented during the 29th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis (Kyoto, Japan)
Date: 2026
Version:
Created: Nitsch, V. (4/7/2026)
Updated: Batta, G. (4/16/2026)
Visits: 14
- Foreign direct investment


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