GTAP Resources: Resource Display
| GTAP Resource #7871 |
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"Trade, market access uncertainty, and economic security" Authors: Francois, Joseph, Bernard Hoekman and Douglas Nelson Abstract This short paper serves as input for the introduction of nine themes for the GTAP consortium “White Paper.” As part of this process, the paper dives into one of these themes: “Trade, market access uncertainty, geopolitics, and economic security”. A major focus is the distinction between realized shocks and the threat of disruption. Recent work on maritime chokepoints highlights that the economic impact of geopolitical tension often precedes physical blockages. For example, rising war risk premiums and insurance costs in critical arteries like the Red Sea or the South China Sea act as immediate trade barriers, altering shipping routes and costs even before trade flows stop. Similarly, in the context of critical minerals and "critical goods," vulnerability is not merely a function of scarcity but of network topology and concentration. |
| Resource Details () | GTAP Keywords | ||||||||||||||||
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- Natural disasters - GTAP Data Base and extensions - Economic crisis - Economic geography - Advances in quantitative methods - Functional forms and closure rules - Model extension/development - Partial and general equilibrium models - Software and modeling tools |
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If you have trouble accessing any of the attachments below due to disability, please contact the authors listed above.
Public Access  GTAP Resource 7871 (120.7 KB) Replicated: 0 time(s)Restricted Access No documents have been attached. Special Instructions No instructions have been specified. |
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Last Modified: 4/30/2026 12:56:16 PM
