GTAP Resources: Resource Display
| GTAP Resource #7888 |
|---|
|
"Economywide Effects of the China–Africa trade liberalization: Implications for South Africa’s agriculture and food Industries" Authors: Zondo, Bhekani, Antti Simola, Mmatlou Kalaba, Trudi Hartzenberg, Nokuthula Khulu, Moses Lubinga, Solly Molepo and Heinrich Bohlmann Abstract This study analyses the economywide effects of China–Africa trade liberalization, focusing on implications for South Africa’s agriculture and food industries. Trade between China and Africa has grown rapidly, supported by South–South cooperation and policy frameworks such as the Forum on China–Africa Cooperation (FOCAC). Recent commitments to expand zero-tariff treatment for African exports signal deeper trade integration, although the expansion of South Africa’s agricultural exports to China remain limited and constrained by tariffs and non-tariff barriers. The study addresses gaps in existing literature by incorporating economywide effects, non-tariff measures, and institutional constraints such as the Southern African Customs Union (SACU). A standard Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) computable general equilibrium model is used to simulate alternative trade liberalization scenarios, including full and partial tariff removal and reductions in non-tariff measures. The results are expected to depict positive but uneven impacts across sectors. Competitive agro-food subsectors, such as fruits and processed foods, are likely to expand, while import-competing industries may face increased pressure. Welfare and GDP gains are expected to be modest but higher when non-tariff barriers are reduced. |
| Resource Details () | GTAP Keywords | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
- Trade and the environment - Economic development - Multilateral trade negotiations - Non-Tariff barriers - Africa (Southern) - Asia (East) |
| Attachments |
|---|
|
If you have trouble accessing any of the attachments below due to disability, please contact the authors listed above.
Public Access  GTAP Resource 7888 (369.7 KB) Replicated: 0 time(s)Restricted Access No documents have been attached. Special Instructions No instructions have been specified. |
| Comments (0 posted) |
|---|
|
You must log in before entering comments.
No comments have been posted. |
Last Modified: 4/30/2026 12:56:16 PM
