GTAP Resources: Resource Display
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"More or less ambition in the Doha Round? Modeling the development impact of trade proposals" by Bouët, Antoine, David Orden and Simon Mevel Abstract What is at stake in the standoff between the United States and Europe over agriculture in the Doha Round of trade talks? What impact would an agreement based on greater or lesser levels of ambition have on developing countries, whose economies depend heavily on agriculture? Using the MIRAGE computable general equilibrium model of the global economy, in this study we compare different scenarios for the Doha agriculture negotiations, taking real numbers from the proposals currently on the table from the European Union (EU), the United States. The results for both scenarios demonstrate the high stakes of this negotiation given the positions articulated by the countries involved. A cooperative reform outcome by the United States and the EU—based on the most ambitious components of their negotiating proposals—delivers noticeably more benefits than an unambitious outcome. We measure the degree of ambition in each scenario by the construction of a Mercantilist Trade Restrictiveness Index. We focus the impact study on developing countries. |
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Public Access  2006 Conference Paper (253.7 KB) Replicated: 0 time(s)Restricted Access No documents have been attached. Special Instructions No instructions have been specified. |
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Last Modified: 9/15/2023 2:05:45 PM
