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GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #2997

"Does Multilateral Trade Liberalization Matters for Poverty Reduction in Africa"
by Chemingui, Mohamed Abdelbasset and Mohamed Hedi Bchir


Abstract
The link between trade liberalization and poverty reduction is more or less ambigious. For the case of African countries, this study tries to answer the following questions: Will multilateral trade liberalization under the Doha Development Agenda reduce poverty in Africa? To what extent will households be affected by changes in global trade liberalization?
Results of simulations using the MIRAGE global dynamic computable general equilibrium linked to household measures suggest that trade liberalization has only modest effects in reducing poverty in most of the African countries covered by this study. However, the effect on poverty is not homogeneous across countries, as some of them will experience an increase in poverty rates rather than a decline. Moreover, the adoption of alternative fiscal policies to compensate for the loose in trade revenue for the government will amplifies the effects on poverty without changing its direction.


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2009 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In: Presented at the 12th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Santiago, Chile
Date: 2009
Version: Draft
Created: Chemingui, M. (4/13/2009)
Updated: Chemingui, M. (4/13/2009)
Visits: 2,426
- Economic growth
- Economic analysis of poverty
- Dynamic modeling
- The GTAP Data Base and extensions
- Africa (North)
- Africa (Central)
- Africa (East)
- Africa (West)
- Africa (Southern)


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Comments (1 posted)
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Posted by: Chemingui, Mohamed Abdelbasset   4/13/2009 5:53:00 AM
The paper is a very draft version and a shorther version will be ready soon.