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GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #3552

"The Global Economic Effects of Pandemic Influenza"
by Verikios, George, Maura Sullivan, Pane Stojanovski, James Giesecke and Gordon Woo


Abstract
We analyse the global economic effects of two influenza pandemics that represent extremes along the virulence-infectiousness continuum of possible pandemics: a high virulence-low infectiousness event and a low virulence-high infectiousness event. We do this by applying results from a susceptible-infected-recovered epidemiological model to a detailed, quarterly computable general equilibrium model. Our findings indicate that global economic activity will be more strongly affected by a pandemic with high infection rates rather than high virulence rates, all else being equal. At the regional level, regions with a higher degree of economic integration with the world economy will be affected more strongly than less integrated regions.


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2011 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In: Presented at the 14th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Venice, Italy
Date:
Version: 1
Created: Verikios, G. (4/13/2011)
Updated: Verikios, G. (4/13/2011)
Visits: 1,910
- Economic growth
- Dynamic modeling


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  File format 2011 Conference Paper  (470.4 KB)   Replicated: 0 time(s)


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