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GTAP Resource #3558

"Economic Integration in South East Asia and the Impact on the EU"
by Paczynski, Wojciech, Michael Gasiorek, Minako Morita Jaeger, Kamala Dawar, Javier Lopez Gonzalez, Maximiliano Méndez Parra and Dirk Willenbockel

As recent years saw a proliferation of free trade agreements (FTAs) around the globe, the paper focuses on the regional integration and in the geographical sense on South East Asia. The East Asia region and South East Asia in particular, being relative newcomers to FTAs have become very active players in this trend. What emerges is a complicated pattern of heterogeneous trade agreements (“noodle bowl” of FTAs) linking the ASEAN countries internally, with major partners in Asia-Oceania region (China, India Japan, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand) as well as with some other countries, notably the US. However, for the moment there is a missing link to the most important world trading power, i.e. the EU.

Using a combination of three approaches: (1) computable general equilibrium GLOBE model of global production and trade, (2) partial equilibrium analysis of trade in key selected products at a fine level of disaggregation and (3) Sussex Framework (an analysis of theory-based diagnostic indicators of trade without the use of formal modelling) we analyse the effects of on-going and planned trade integration processes involving South East Asian (ASEAN) economies and focus on the impact on the main missing link, the EU. The GLOBE model is a theory-grounded, comparative-static, multi-region, multi-sectoral CGE model of global production and trade. The model version used here is calibrated to the GTAP7 database that reflects the global input-output structure of production and trade by origin and destination in 2004. We consider alternative scenarios with or without completion of the Doha Round negotiations.

Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2011 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In: Presented at the 14th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Venice, Italy
Date: 2011
Created: Paczynski, W. (4/14/2011)
Updated: Batta, G. (4/14/2011)
Visits: 2,643
- Preferential trading arrangements
- Asia (East)
- Asia (Southeast)
- European Union
- North America

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