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GTAP Resource #4314

"Recoger lo que otros han sembrado: El impacto de la crisis financiera global sobre el sector agrario en España"
by Bourne, Mike, Jack Childs and George Philippidis

Employing a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium model of Spain, this study aims to characterise the impact of the financial crisis on agriculture, with particular focus on the divergent impacts on specific agricultural activities. The results have broad implications for neighbouring Mediterranean EU economies given similarities in the relative size and structure of primary agriculture, and in the macroeconomic difficulties they face.
Comparing with a baseline scenario, it is estimated that the crisis induces a cumulative contraction of 8 per cent in Spanish agricultural activity by 2015, with concomitant reductions in real farming incomes of 9 per cent. Notwithstanding, in accordance with previous literature and a priori expectations, this contraction is notably smaller than in non-food sectors. Comparing between agricultural activities, the supply response to the crisis varies considerably owing to differing input intensities and sales destinations. The highest supply responsiveness occurs in relatively capital or unskilled labour intensive sectors, or export orientated sectors; whilst land intensive sectors are more resistant to the economic downturn. Finally, we find greater income inequality across Spanish households, with utility from food consumption falling 10% in the poorest segment, compared with only 1% in the wealthiest.

Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: Other CGE Application
Status: Published
By/In: Información Técnica Económica Agraria v4, pp405-425
Date: 2012
Created: Philippidis, G. (11/24/2013)
Updated: Batta, G. (11/24/2013)
Visits: 1,475
- Economic crisis
- Europe (Southern)

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