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GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #4766

"Agricultural Policy, Productivity and Long term Economic Growth in Senegal : An Analysis using Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium."
by Sy, Hamat


Abstract
1. For decades, senegalese agriculture has experienced many difficulties related to low productivity of factors and a very fluctuating production. In turn, agricultural production has, less and less, participated in national wealth creation, causing a massive migration from rural to urban areas.

2. Contribution of the agricultural sector to economic growth has significantly declined during the last fifteen years. Its part in GDP rose from 10.10% between 1997 and 2001 to 7.86% between 2007 and 2011. This modest contribution to GDP, coupled with the weight of the workforce of nearly 30% over the labour force, gives fairly accurate idea of the weak labour productivity.

3. The difficulties in the agricultural sector are particularly related to the deterioration of agricultural equipment, the state of degradation of the infrastructure, the quality of seed, the lack of storage units and the lack of credits to farmers. Those issues lead to a deficit of the production, which remains critical and causing thereby a significant level of agricultural imports.

4. However, if we refer to the renewed political will of the Senegalese public authorities to place agriculture at the heart of the economic and social development process, all hope seeing a prosperous agricultural sector is still allowed. This study aims to analyse the implications of new strategic directions of the government’s agricultural policy on the dynamics of the sector.

5. The study focuses in particular on new projects and programmes listed in the triennial public investment program (TPIP, 2013-2015). Indeed, compared to the TPIP (2012-2014), new agricultural programs have been added, while other programs, already existing, registered an increase of their allocation. Overall, the budget programmed into the TPIP (2013-2015) increased from 126,034 billion FRANCS CFA, compared to the previous TPIP (2012-2014).

6. A Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model is used to evaluate sectorial ...


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: Other CGE Application
Status: Not published
By/In:
Date: 2013
Version:
Created: Sy, H. (4/15/2015)
Updated: Batta, G. (5/1/2015)
Visits: 1,040
- Dynamic modeling
- Economic growth
- Agricultural policies
- Other data bases and data issues
- Africa (West)


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