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GTAP Resource #5240

"Analyzing Effects of the RCEP on FDI in a Firm Heterogeneity CGE Framework"
by Li, Qiaomin


Abstract
The RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership) is a free trade agreement (FTA) that is currently under negotiation among China and 15 Asian countries. It is another mega FTA in the Asia-Pacific region after the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). This paper investigates the potential effect of the RCEP on foreign direct investment (FDI) with a focus on China through a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The CGE model is built on the extended theory of firm heterogeneity to FDI, which is able to capture the intensive margin and extensive margin of FDI increase. The RCEP is simulated to impact on FDI through a direct effect of FDI liberalization and an indirect effect of trade liberalization. Simulation results show that the RCEP will encourage FDI to China through its trade effect and the direct FDI effect. While the competition from imports drives out the least productive foreign invested firms, the export expansion of firms using FDI will lead to an increase in foreign investment. In addition, the facilitation of trade in intermediate goods tends to promote vertical FDI. The direct FDI effect from investment liberalization will evidently promote FDI from partners. As for the welfare effect, China will gain US$103~214 billion, accounting for 1.08~2.24% of GDP.


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2017 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In: Presented at the 20th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, West Lafayette, IN, USA
Date: 2017
Version: 1
Created: Li, Q. (4/12/2017)
Updated: Li, Q. (4/12/2017)
Visits: 2,835
- Baseline development
- Multilateral trade negotiations
- The GTAP Data Base and extensions
- Asia (East)
- Asia (South-Central)
- Asia (Southeast)


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