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GTAP Resource #5884

"SSP long run scenarios for European NUTS2 regions"
by Roson, Roberto, Wolfgang Britz and Martina Sartori

In this paper we illustrate the development of a modeling framework
aimed at producing detailed quantiative estimates for economic variables,
consistent with Shared Socio-economic Pathways, and their assumptions
about national income and population. Our model not only provides infomation on industrial production levels, employment, consumption patterns, trade ows and other macroeconomic variables, but disaggregates
them further at the sub-national level, for European NUTS2 regions. Estimates are produced by an especially designed dynamic general equilibrium
model (G-RDEM), augmented with a regional down-scaling module. The
latter takes into account the dierent sectoral composition of the regional
economies, their endowments of primary resources, as well as the possible
existence of structural and agglomeration externalities. After illustrating
the methodology, the paper provides a brief overview of SSP-consistent
economic development scenarios produced for the European regions.

Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2019 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In: Presented at the 22nd Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Warsaw, Poland
Date: 2019
Version: 0.1
Created: Roson, R. (4/16/2019)
Updated: Roson, R. (4/16/2019)
Visits: 1,096
- Baseline development
- Calibration and parameter estimation
- Dynamic modeling
- Economic growth

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