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GTAP Resource #6038

"Supply-side responses to the transition to sustainable diets and implications of trade policy regimes: the case of the EU"
by Clora, Francesco and Wusheng Yu

In responding to heightened attention to climate change, various governments and societies have indicated willingness to consider both demand and supply measures to reduce emissions from the food system, as for example shown in the recent policy communications by the European Commission. Harnessing the insights from the EUCalc project and other literature and making use of a CGE modeling framework specifically designed to allow for "flexibilities" in modeling large behavior changes on the demand side and major changes in production technologies, in this paper we model and analyze two scenarios of agricultural system transitions (as proposed in the EUCalc project) as responses to a sustainable diet for the consumers in the EU, UK and Switzerland.

The obtained modeling results will shed light on the expected adjustments to agricultural production patterns in the EU27+2 and the implied contribution to the EU's climate goals as well as to the global mitigation efforts. Owing to the expected shrinking size of the EU in the global economy and to test the sensitivity of the above results with respect to trade policy regimes, we further conduct the above analysis in alternative trade policy regimes. This allows us to investigate the effectiveness of the proposed supply measures, responding to demand changes, in contributing to reaching global climate targets, as opposed to the EU targets only. These findings are expected to contribute to the debates on the interactions of demand and supply measures in the food and agriculture system and possibly also to highlight the roles of trade policy regimes in these interactions.

Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2020 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In: Presented during the 23rd Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis (Virtual Conference)
Date: 2020
Created: Clora, F. (4/14/2020)
Updated: Clora, F. (6/23/2020)
Visits: 1,274
- Climate change policy
- Agricultural policies
- European Union

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