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GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #6666

"Global protectionist trade effect of rules of origin: assessment of input-output restrictions at HS6 level in 400 FTAs"
by Kniahin, Dzmitry


Abstract
FTA policymakers designate input-output relationships when formulating rules of origin (RoO). These relationships define restricted inputs that can only be sourced from FTA area. Conconi et al. (2018) found a strong trade diversion effect in such inputs in the case of NAFTA.

We construct a global dataset by extracting HS6 input-output restrictions from 400 FTAs a la Conconi et al. using Rules of Origin Facilitator/MacMap global database at HS6 level. We document that: (1) Input-output tables diverge across FTAs, driven by political economy of protected inputs; (2) FTAs show heterogeneity in precision of revealed HS6 input-output relationships. Precision is higher in “sensitive” products and in NAFTA-style FTAs (US FTAs, LatAm FTAs and CPTPP); (3) RoO globally divert trade by XX% in restricted inputs, thus the effect is less than in NAFTA (45%); (4) RoO that designate `allowed' inputs result in `trade creation' in such inputs by X%, somewhat compensating trade diversion in restricted inputs. For example, if fabrics are placed on restricted list, it can trigger imports of yarn instead.

Finally, we augment the NAFTA-based HS6 input-output matrix with 460 FTAs and publish a more complete, more granular research dataset which enables disaggregated value-chain impact modeling of trade policy changes.


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2022 Conference Paper
Status: Not published
By/In: Presented during the 25th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis (Virtual Conference)
Date: 2022
Version:
Created: Kniahin, D. (4/15/2022)
Updated: Kniahin, D. (6/13/2022)
Visits: 438
- Other data bases and data issues
- Non-Tariff barriers
- Preferential trading arrangements
- Econometric methods


Attachments
If you have trouble accessing any of the attachments below due to disability, please contact the authors listed above.


Public Access
  File format Input-output restrictions harmonized at HS6 product level  (10.5 KB)   Replicated: 0 time(s)
  File format Paper  (370.2 KB)   Replicated: 0 time(s)
  File format Presentation  (1.0 MB)   Replicated: 0 time(s)
  File format Revealed input-output relationships in FTA rules of origin (original HS lev  (9.1 MB)   Replicated: 0 time(s)


Restricted Access
No documents have been attached.


Special Instructions
File #1. XLSX (Excel) format, 9.1MB. Columns:
1. "output_revision": revision of output HS code
2. "output_hs": output HS code (at 2-, 4-, 6- or 8+ -digit level as recorded in rules of origin (ROO)
3. "output_hs_description": output HS code description
4. "input_revision": revision of input HS code
5. "input_hs": input HS code (at 2-, 4-, 6- or 8+ -digit level as recorded in ROO)
6. "input_hs_description": input HS code description
7. "count_agreements": # of agreements that explicitly mention the input HS code in restrictions/allowances list of ROO
8. "agreements": list of such agreements separated by semi-colon.

File #2. CSV, 50GB (1.2GB zipped). Columns:
1. "agreement": agreement
2. "verification_link": link to agreement page with legal texts in ROO Facilitator
3. "revision": revision of output & input HS6 codes
4. "output_hs6": output HS6
5. "input_hs6": input HS6
6. "restriction_flag": indicator whether input HS6 code is under restriction for 3rd-country sourcing


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Last Modified: 9/15/2023 2:05:45 PM