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GTAP Resource #6971

"Micro-level Employment Impacts of Climate Policies"
by Mitchell, Livvy, Riggs Lynn, Dominic White and Niven Winchester

We develop and apply techniques to estimate the micro-level employment impacts of climate policies in New Zealand. Our approach links an economy-wide model with a micro simulation module to calculate employment changes for different groups of the population across several dimensions (and combinations of dimensions), including sectoral, geospatial, demographic, and socio-economic categories. By simulating the linked modelling framework out to 2050 for proposed climate policies, we estimate which industries, workers and jobs are expected to be most affected by these policies. Industries that experience the largest negative employment impacts include coal mining, oil and gas extraction, and some manufacturing activities. Employment in Taranaki and West Coast - which have high concentrations of negatively affected industries – fall, while employment in most other regions increases. On the net positive side, reflecting the deployment of labour-intensive abatement options, some agriculture industries experience the largest employment increases. Overall, the net employment effects are predicted to be relatively small, though some industries will be more affected than others.

Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2023 Conference Paper
Status: Not published
By/In: Presented during the 26th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis (Bordeaux, France)
Date: 2023
Created: Winchester, N. (4/15/2023)
Updated: Winchester, N. (4/15/2023)
Visits: 293
- Climate change policy
- Oceania

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