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GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #6975

"Updating the economic drivers in the SSPs: Integrating observed history with original storylines "
by Dellink, Rob, Laura Atarody, Ruben Bibas, Jean Chateau and Elisa Lanzi


Abstract
The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) are underpinned by projections of economic activity. This paper presents methodology and results of updated projections of GDP and per capita income using the latest demographic and economic data and the latest economic insights for more than 200 countries. To ensure consistency, the same modelling tools that were used for the original economic SSP projections presented in Dellink et al (2017[1]) are used.
The updated projections lead to significantly higher long-term GDP levels. This is driven primarily by the update of historical data, rather than by revisions in the long-term growth rate of the global economy. Scenario assumptions and thus all quantitative projections are still subject to revision.


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2023 Conference Paper
Status: Not published
By/In: Presented during the 26th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis (Bordeaux, France)
Date: 2023
Version:
Created: Dellink, R. (4/15/2023)
Updated: Batta, G. (4/15/2023)
Visits: 297
- Baseline development
- Dynamic modeling
- Demographics
- Economic growth
- Technological change


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