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GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #7255

"Estimating technology and preference trends, validating and creating baseline projections with the GTAP model"
by Dixon, Peter and Maureen Rimmer


Abstract
By 2020, the GTAP team had created 4 comparable GTAP databases, referring to the years 2004, 2007, 2011 and 2014. They had also produced a preliminary 2017 database. The aim of the project reported in this paper was to use this time series of databases to derive and apply methods for:
1. estimating trends at a disaggregated level in industry technologies and consumer preferences;
2. creating baseline forecasts incorporating a wide range of macro, demographic and energy forecasts from specialist organizations together with disaggregated technology and preference trends;
3. updating and checking GTAP databases, and establishing validation methods for assessing the performance of baseline forecasts.
Towards these objectives, the project team produced several interim reports and 3 final reports. This paper explains our methods and reviews the project findings.


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2024 Conference Paper
Status: Not published
By/In: Presented during the 27th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis (Fort Collins, Colorado, USA)
Date: 2024
Version: Version 1
Created: Rimmer, M. (4/14/2024)
Updated: Rimmer, M. (4/14/2024)
Visits: 79
- GTAP Data Base and extensions
- Baseline development
- Dynamic modeling
- Global


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