GTAP Resources: Resource Display
| GTAP Resource #7716 |
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"Water Supply Management under Uncertainty: A Stochastic CGE Model with Application to Egypt" Authors: Mohammed, Abdelradi Abstract Volatility in water supply is a main challenge in water management. This paper develops a stochastic dynamic general equilibrium approach for modeling water supply in a water-scarce economy. Water is used for production and final consumption and is supplied by stochastic freshwater flows or through desalination. The stochastic general equilibrium model is devel- oped as a quadratic system without an explicit objective function using recursive dynamic programming techniques. The model is calibrated to the SAM data for Egypt 2019 and then solved numerically. The results show that uncertainty reduces investment in the desalination sector and increases investment in water-substituting capital instead. As a result, production becomes less water-intensive with increasing uncertainty. Water storage is much higher under uncertainty than in a deterministic model, and consumption is lower. |
| Resource Details () | GTAP Keywords | ||||||||||||||||
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- Water availability - Economic development - Economic growth - Dynamic modeling - Africa (North) - Middle East |
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Public Access  GTAP Resource 7716 (390.4 KB) Replicated: 0 time(s)Restricted Access No documents have been attached. Special Instructions No instructions have been specified. |
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Last Modified: 4/30/2026 12:56:16 PM
